NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500
The 2019 NASCAR Program kicks into high gear Sunday Together with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
The green flag falls at two p.m. ET for your 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta odds are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four final week at the Daytona 500. Prior to making your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, make sure you check out the projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.
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It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the start. Anyone who has followed its picks is way, way up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his model mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could tell you that the model is high on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a long history at Atlanta, but he has had success there at all three of his starts in the track since joining the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished inside the top 10 in each of those races and even got a top-five finish in 2017.
Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five endings at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his dad, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level at Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it is something of a house monitor for its 23-year-old. The model expects him to ride that advantage towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.
Another shocker in the model: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not even crack the top five.
The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a season before, but ended up finishing in seventh position. The year prior, he had yet another quick ride and started the race in third, but ended up in 16th.
Considering his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has just run 56.7 percent of his laps inside the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better worth within this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you will want to pay for him.
The model is also targeting three other motorists with 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta odds of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these shots could hit it big.
Read more: sportscoverage.net